Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2723.228690 2950.348128 3181.023858 3432.530262 3698.701955 3971.688183 4272.502504
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2315.348228 2647.949165 2999.119825 3396.297507 3831.779508 4293.503987 4818.815414
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2093.068261 2491.553503 2924.394194 3426.960495 3991.849875 4604.636023 5317.034388
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1904.992024 2347.456525 2839.873409 3424.379542 4095.025809 4836.250980 5713.098372
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1789.835637 2272.531074 2821.024176 3484.375157 4258.677683 5127.763091 6170.584785
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1646.395315 2152.219609 2738.683488 3460.725198 4317.314701 5292.702792 6478.574276
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1573.892143 2109.947707 2742.302094 3532.727208 4483.308777 5578.776731 6925.185057
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1483.999210 2039.767118 2706.637403 3552.608384 4583.468669 5785.168522 7277.476033
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1395.507756 1965.472257 2660.766456 3555.388281 4659.266271 5960.103250 7591.235696
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1266.274630 1832.079506 2534.908660 3453.240016 4601.725114 5970.855836 7705.312596
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1244.400357 1835.794980 2580.033844 3563.181351 4804.471548 6296.279080 8199.704299
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1209.879988 1820.427373 2598.925028 3638.668451 4963.884851 6569.371322 8632.299966
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1143.376755 1760.157237 2558.599225 3638.433593 5029.597631 6730.285124 8932.857355
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1066.229253 1681.663373 2491.171135 3600.394152 5045.392829 6828.402354 9156.317259
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1022.049948 1646.309254 2478.821901 3632.430625 5149.524721 7036.270091 9516.409529
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 968.220327 1594.513536 2441.854549 3629.734160 5207.169052 7184.803674 9802.457795
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 941.527817 1580.035081 2454.493626 3692.409285 5349.686178 7441.336557 10225.769036
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 886.466906 1521.535875 2403.991176 3667.704476 5375.707089 7548.241122 10459.613743
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 868.349529 1516.521481 2427.244042 3742.912378 5533.979471 7825.556421 10911.763417
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 833.736455 1485.040379 2411.722938 3763.675855 5618.982331 8008.254637 11243.795263
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 795.622229 1446.377112 2384.336305 3766.579021 5679.016724 8158.149077 11534.065631
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 727.056817 1357.289337 2280.988389 3659.885056 5587.643146 8107.575784 11563.144778
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 726.606905 1375.185253 2333.979564 3774.717529 5799.592358 8457.653220 12115.491973